Thursday, January 20, 2011

'Not worried about competition'

It really boggles me when CEOs of big companies in a fast moving industry, come out and say publicly that they are not worried about the competition at all. But their actions point to something else, contradicting their just made public speeches. Is it the same when it comes to the financial condition of a troubled company? Do the CEOs deny uncertainty of revenue and profitability and seek for strategic alternatives like holding their assets up for sale?

Some recent collations from earning announcements and press releases by CEOs and executives on addressing competition and their actions shortly therafter.
Google’s CEO Eric Schmidt has been denying worrying about Facebook on public forums like Charlie Rose etc. and yet his stepping down for speeding decisions and streamlining future is so contradictory to his earlier statements. Excerpt below from press release:

Google CEO Eric Schmidt along with Google co-Founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin expressed that they are not concerned with the growth of Apple and Facebook. Brin stated that their indicators “show that when Internet users become Facebook users they actually do significantly more searches on Google.” The Google trio declined to comment on the rumor that Google is currently building a social networking site to rival Facebook called “Google Me,” reports Reuters

"The Street will think it's a negative, that there is probably some issue going on. Google is trying to get more efficient and trying to get a tech guy in the seat to compete with Facebook," said UBS analyst Brian Pitz.

Recent article by Business Insider read ‘Intel: We're Not Worried About Microsoft's ARM Move’. With a slower start on the growing tablet space and 30 year partner deciding to go with other companies as partners can’t be putting Intel into anything other than a tight spot.

AT&T exec’s recent interview said “we are not worried about a Verizon iphone”. Really? It’s difficult to digest that a competitor enroaching on it’s most profitable and exclusive relationship with a growth engine is not worrying execs at AT&T. What’s interesting is the Operator’s actions: It has spent more than $18 billion both this year and last to improve its network.

I guess this is not just true of the telecom space. CEO’s of financial institutions including Lehman were denying any risk even right before the collapse. Next time when you hear a CEO or a senior executive mention publicy that they are not worried about the competition, do believe them, because they are not just worried they are PETRIFIED.

Friday, January 7, 2011

Watch out for..

..some strong tech M&A activity, specifically in the mobile semiconductor space. Samsung Chief annoucning at CES that his company is open to acquisitions. Also with Microsoft announcing its Arm strategy and Qcom getting into smart connectivity, Intel will be pressured to buy some growth in the near term.

Saturday, January 1, 2011

The year that was 2010

2010 has been a year of learnings, discovery and a year of some good calls and some not that good. Watching firecrackers (tax money blow up in front of my eyes in all directions) bring in the new year, it is a time to reflect and rejoice the year that was. The year has taught me the true meaning of patience and what in reality it means to keep moving and not to settle for anything less than your dreams. I have discovered new cities, new cultures and a new lens to my own origin.

I couldn’t stay away from the time of the year when people make lists and rankings. Two good calls that I made last year have been IMAX and SPRD. I couldn’t be happier to see IMAX lead the charge on the last trading day of the year. The stock has more than doubled in less than a year. SPRD has also moved 3 times from the beginning of the year. A good lesson from a trade carried from last year is to walk away from speculative acquisition plays. Picks for next year include small / mid cap companies with IP in mobile space, internet commerce company and constant search for companies trading below book value. Starting the year with the thought that what the future holds for me depends on what I hold for the future.